Politics In
Demographics
By Ram Puniyani
29 September, 2004
Countercurrents.org
The
current social common sense rides on many a misconceptions. These myths
form the base of 'Hate other' ideology and has started creating the
emotional and physical walls amongst the communities in big measure
in recent years. One of these myths which makes merry rounds, with lots
of spices added to it is that Muslims marry four number of times and
produce twenty children. This is also expressed as the sigh of a poor
Hindu male, Ham Do Hamare Do- Wo Panch Unke pachis (We two, husband
and a wife, our two children, they five, one husband-four wives and
have twenty children).
This might have
been one of the most powerful constructs of the myth making machinery
installed by the RSS. In the prevailing scenario the Census Commission's
observation that the rate of rise of Hindu population has declined from
25.1% in the decades of 81 to 91 to 20.3% during 91-2001 and the rate
of Muslim growth has gone up from 34.5% during 81-91% to 36% during
91-2001, came as the Gods gift to the myth manufacturing machinery.
Without wasting
a minute various functionaries of this machine started pouring their
venom out in the open. Mr.Venkaiah Naidu, BJP President, stated that
it is a matter of deep concern for the unity and integrity of the nation,
Mr. Jaitly went on to demand a National debate on the population growth
as per religions, while Mr. Ram Madhav the spokesperson of RSS asserted
that this has been the RSS fear all through and the first report on
religion by census commission has confirmed the same. The adoption of
two child norm by Hindu middle class is the culprit of this demographic
danger looming over the country. Not to be left behind Shiv Sena branch
of Dharampur in Bijnor, UP, went on to declare Jagrook (Aware person)
award to few Hindu women who have more than five children. The idea
simply put is that these are the persons who are aware to the Hindu
cause, and by producing more Hindu children they are trying to offset
the evil designs of Muslims in converting this Hindu Rashtra into an
Islamic state. VHP votaries like Chinubhai Patel of Gujarat saw it as
the conspiracy of Muslims.
Right next day a
National newspaper came out with the news that Census commission has
goofed and goofed badly. In the first ever Report on religions, it forgot
that the previous data, that of 1991 did not have Muslim majority Jammu
and Kashmir in the data. So the comparision and the supposed rate of
rise sounded bigger. In real fact there is a decline in the Muslim rate
of growth to 29.3 i.e. a decline of 3.7%. The total population of Muslims
remains 13.4% while the Hindu population is 80.5%.
At the time of Partition
the Muslim population was 11.6%. Even in the current data there are
some holes. To begin with many an Adiviasis have now got themselves
registered in the category, 'other religions', rather than the previous
Hindu which was automatically put in front of their names. This time
Jains have also been put as a separate category so this decline in the
rate of rise of Hindu population is not as big as it appears. These
intricasies of the data analysis were not highlighted by the National
Census commission, and it changes the interpretation in a very serious
manner. Was this lopsided presentation deliberate? Is it that the people
in charge cannot handle this simple analysis?
It is also understood
that this data was ready before the elections but BJP preferred not
to publish it that time, as at that time it was operating in the Shinning
India mode and this might have disturbed their apple cart. It is also
understood that like the communalization of other bodies, census commission
was also the victim of 'trishul diksha' and there were motives in the
analysis of the data. Its very difficult to believe that the learned
demographers could not decipher such simple facts, which make such a
serious differnce in the interpretation of results.
As such one is also
amazed by the correaltion of the population and religion. The rise of
population is more an index of poverty and lack of education rather
than the teachings of any religion. And no religious community is uniform
all over India. The population growth rate amongst Kerala Muslims is
very low comapred to Muslims in other parts of the country. As Muslims
have been a discrimintated against lot their overall rate of population
growth is higher. As awareness is spreading it is coming down uniformly.
On the top of this by what strech of imagination can a Muslim male marry
four number of times when as per the sex ration there are just 936 Muslim
women for every 1000 Muslim men. But it has come to stick on their forehead
that they marry four number of times.
As such last two
decades in particular have seen an increaesed intimidation and ghettoisation
of Muslim community due to the communal violence the worst of which
was seen first in Mumbai riots in 1992-93 and in Gujarat in 2002. In
such an adverse situation the social reforms and progress take a back
seat. The need is to provide an atmosphere where the community can live
the social and poltical life with security and dignity. Despite such
an adverse situation a decline in the rate of rise of population does
suggest the work of social workers who are conciously focussing their
efforts for education and progress in the community. This goof of Census
commission has given a a big handle to the 'Hate mongers' to intensify
their efforts to demonise Muslims for their political purposes.
The religion based
census data can serve different types of purposes. If this opens our
eyes to the plight of this community, poverty, illiteracy and insecurity
and if we aim to redress it as a nation , the data will be worth its
while. One hopes that the Government takes suitable remedial efforts
to undo the damage done by this goof of census commission and to recognise
that population control cannot be doen without social progress and spread
of literacy.