After
Lebanon, Israel Is
Looking For More wars
By Jonathan Cook in Nazareth
21 August, 2006
Countercurrents.org
Late
last month, a fortnight into Israel’s war against Lebanon, the
Hebrew media published a story that passed observers by. Scientists
in Haifa, according to the report, have developed a “missile-trapping”
steel net that can shield buildings from rocket attacks. The Israeli
government, it noted, would be able to use the net to protect vital
infrastructure -- oil refineries, hospitals, military installations,
and public offices -- while private citizens could buy a net to protect
their own homes.
The fact that the government and scientists are seriously investing
their hopes in such schemes tells us more about Israel’s vision
of the “new Middle East” than acres of analysis.
Israel regards the “home front” -- its civilian population
-- as its Achilles’ heel in the army’s oppression of the
Palestinians in the occupied territories, its intermittent invasions
of south Lebanon, and its planned attacks further afield. The military
needs the unconditional support of the country’s citizenry and
media to sanction its unremitting aggression against Israel’s
“enemies”, but fears that the resolve of the home front
is vulnerable to the threat posed by rockets landing in Israel, whether
the home-made Qassams fired by Palestinians over the walls of their
prison in Gaza or the Katyushas launched by Hizbullah from Lebanon.
Certainly Israel’s leaders are not ready to examine the reasons
for the rocket menace -- or to search for solutions other than of the
missile-catching variety.
The bloody nose Israel received in south Lebanon has not shaken its
leaders’ confidence in their restless militarism. If anything,
their humiliation has given them cause to pursue their adventures more
vigorously in an attempt to reassert the myth of Israeli invincibility,
to distract domestic attention from Israel’s defeat at the hands
of Hizbullah, and to prove the Israeli army’s continuing usefulness
to its generous American benefactor.
If Israel’s soldiers ever leave south Lebanon, expect a rapid
return to the situation before the war of almost daily violations of
Lebanese airspace by its warplanes and spy drones, plus air strikes
to “rein in” Hizbullah and regular attempts on its leader
Hassan Nasrallah’s life. Expect more buzzing by the same warplanes
of President Bashar al-Assad’s palace in Damascus, assassination
attempts against Hamas leader-in-exile Khaled Meshal and attacks on
Hizbullah “supply lines” in Syria. Expect more apocalyptic
warnings, and worse, to Iran over its assumed attempt to join Israel
in the exclusive club of nuclear armed states. And, of course, expect
many more attacks by ground and air of Gaza and the West Bank, with
the inevitable devastating toll on Palestinian lives.
Despite its comeuppance in Lebanon, Israel is not planning to reconfigure
its relationship with its neighbours. It is not seeking a new Middle
East in which it will have to endure the same birth pangs as the “Arabs”.
It does not want to engage in a peace process that might force it to
restore, in more than appearance, the occupied territories to the Palestinians.
Instead it is preparing for more asymmetrical warfare -- aerial bombardments
of the kind so beloved by American arms manufacturers.
The weekend’s swift-moving events should be interpreted in this
light. Israel, as might have been expected, was the first to break the
United Nations ceasefire on Saturday when its commandoes attacked Hizbullah
positions near Baalbek in north-east Lebanon, including air strikes
on roads and bridges. It was not surprising that this gross violation
of the ceasefire passed with little more than a murmur of condemnation.
The UN’s Terje Roed-Larsen referred to it as an “unwelcome
development” and “unhelpful”. The UN peacekeeping
force in Lebanon, UNIFIL, whose current job it is to monitor the ceasefire,
refused to comment, saying the attack occurred outside the area of its
jurisdiction -- an implicit admission of how grave a violation it really
was.
Meanwhile in the media, the Associated Press called the military assault
“a bold operation”, and BBC World described it as a “raid”
and the ensuing firefight between Israeli troops and Hizbullah as “clashes”.
Much later in its reports, the BBC noted that it was also a “serious
breach” of the ceasefire, neglecting to mention who was responsible
for the violation. That may have been because the BBC’s report
was immediately followed by Israeli spokesman Mark Regev accusing Hizbullah,
not Israel, of violating the ceasefire. Predictably he accused Hizbullah
of receiving transfers of weapons that the Israeli army operation was
supposedly designed to foil.
In fact, this was no simple “clash” during an intelligence-gathering
mission, as early reports in the Israeli media made clear before the
official story was established. Israeli special forces launched the
covert operation to capture a Hizbullah leader, Sheikh Mohammed Yazbak,
way beyond the Litani River, the northern extent of Israel’s supposed
“buffer zone”. The hit squad were disguised not only as
Arabs -- a regular ploy by units called “mistarvim” -- but
as Lebanese soldiers driving in Lebanese army vehicles. When their cover
was blown, Hizbullah opened fire, killing one Israeli and wounding two
more in a fierce gun battle.
(It is worth noting that, according to the later official version, Israel’s
elite forces were exposed only as they completed their intelligence
work and were returning home. Why would Israel be using special forces,
apparently in a non-belligerent fashion, in a dangerous ground operation
when shipments of weapons crossing from Syria can easily be spotted
by Israel’s spy drones and its warplanes?)
It is difficult to see how this operation could be characterised as
“defensive” except in the Orwellian language employed by
Israel’s army -- which, after all, is misleadingly known as the
Israel Defence Forces. UN Resolution 1701, the legal basis of the ceasefire,
calls on Israel to halt “all offensive military operations”.
How much more offensive could the operation be?
But, more significantly, what is Israel’s intention towards the
United Nation’s ceasefire when it chooses to violate it not only
by assaulting Hizbullah positions in an area outside the “buffer
zone” it has invaded but also then implicates the Lebanese army
in the attack? Is there not a danger that Hizbullah fighters may now
fire on Lebanese troops fearing that they are undercover Israeli soldiers?
Does Israel’s deceit not further weaken the standing of the Lebanese
army, which under Resolution 1701 is supposed to be policing south Lebanon
on Israel’s behalf? Could reluctance on the part of Lebanon’s
army to engage Hizbullah as a result not potentially provide an excuse
for Israel to renew hostilities? And what would have been said had Israel
launched the same operation disguised as UN peacekeepers, the international
force arriving to augment the Lebanese soldiers already in the area?
These questions need urgent answers but, as usual, they were not raised
by diplomats or the media.
On the same day, the Israeli army also launched another “raid”,
this time in Ramallah in the West Bank. There they “arrested”,
in the media’s continuing complicity in the corrupted language
of occupation, the Palestinians’ deputy prime minister. His “offence”
is belonging to the political wing of Hamas, the party democratically
elected by the Palestinian people earlier this year to run their government
in defiance of Israeli wishes. Even the Israeli daily Haaretz newspaper
characterised Nasser Shaer as a “relative moderate” -- the
“relative” presumably a reference, in Israeli eyes, to the
fact that he belongs to Hamas. Shaer had only avoided the fate of other
captured Hamas cabinet ministers and legislators by hiding for the past
six weeks from the army -- a fitting metaphor for the fate of a fledgling
Palestinian democracy under the jackboot of Israeli oppression.
A leading legislator from the rival Fatah party, Saeb Erekat, pointed
out the obvious: that the seizure of half the cabinet was making it
impossible for Fatah, led by President Mahmoud Abbas, to negotiate with
Hamas over joining a government of national unity. Such a coalition
might offer the Palestinians a desperately needed route out of their
international isolation and prepare the path for negotiations with Israel
on future withdrawals from occupied Palestinian territory. Israel’s
interest in stifling such a government, therefore, speaks for itself.
And ordinary Israelis still wonder why the Palestinians fire their makeshift
rockets into Israel. Duh!
On the diplomatic front, Israel’s ambassador to the UN, Dan Gillerman,
rejected out of hand a peace initiative from the Arab League that it
hopes to bring before the Security Council next month. The Arab League
proposal follows a similar attempt at a comprehensive peace plan by
the Arab states, led by Saudi Arabia, in 2002 that was also instantly
brushed aside by Israel. On this occasion, Gillerman claimed there was
no point in a new peace process; Israel, he said, wanted to concentrate
on disarming Hizbullah under UN Resolution 1701. Presumably that means
more provocative “raids”, like the one on Saturday, in violation
of the ceasefire.
Where does all this “defensive” Israeli activity leave us?
Answer: on the verge of more war and carnage, whether inflicted on the
Palestinians, on Lebanon, on Syria, on Iran, or on all of them. Iran’s
head of the army warned on Saturday that he was preparing for an attack
by Israel. Probably a wise assumption on his part, especially as US
officials were suggesting at the weekend that the UN Security Council
is about to adopt sanctions that will include military force to stop
Iran’s assumed nuclear ambitions.
In fact, Israel looks ready to pick a fight with just about anyone in
its neighbourhood whose complicity in the White House’s new Middle
East has not already been assured, either like Jordan and Egypt by the
monthly pay cheques direct from Washington, or like Saudi Arabia and
the Gulf states by the cash-guzzling pipelines bringing oil to the West.
The official enemies -- those who refuse to prostrate themselves before
Western oil interests and Israeli regional hegemony -- must be brought
to their knees just as Iraq already has been.
What will these wars achieve? That is the hardest question to answer,
because every possible outcome appears to spell catastrophe for the
region, including for Israel, and ultimately for the West. If Israel
received a bloody nose from a month of taking on a few thousand Hizbullah
fighters on their home turf, what can the combined might of Israel and
the US hope to achieve in a battleground that drags in the whole Middle
East? How will Israel survive in a region torn apart by war, by a new
Shiite ascendancy that makes the old colonially devised mosaic of Arab
states redundant and by the consequent tectonic shifts in identity and
borders?
President Bush observed at the weekend that, although it may look like
Hizbullah won the war with Israel, it will take time to see who is the
true victor. He may be right, but it is hard to believe that either
Israel or the United States can build a missile-catching net big enough
to withstand the fall-out from the looming war.
Jonathan Cook is a writer and journalist based in Nazareth,
Israel. His book, “Blood and Religion: The Unmasking of the Jewish
and Democratic State”, is published by Pluto Press. His website
is www.jkcook.net